01/02/2008

Economic Slowdown To Cost 24,000 Construction Jobs

Economic growth is set to slowdown this year with up to 24,000 jobs losses in the construction industry, according to the Central Bank.

In its first quarterly bulletin this year, the bank has reported that although the domestic economy performed strongly in 2007 the economy in 2008 will grow at its slowest rate since 1992.

The most notable adjustment is expected in the construction sector, which will see a significant reduction in house building activity. However, comparatively speaking, the Irish economy will still look reasonably good by international standards and the bank believes that there will be a moderate pick up in growth in 2009.

The bulletin also warns that the impact of a slowdown in the US economy and the continuing turbulence of financial markets represent a significant risk to the economy not least because of uncertainty regarding their duration. Sharp movements in oil prices, which are currently at very high levels and the depreciation of the US dollar against the euro are other factors which contribute to this uncertainty.

Another factor in the deceleration of the economy this year is likely to be a slowdown in the growth of consumer spending to a more sustainable rate compared with the very high rates of increase in recent years.

Credit growth has also moderated significantly over the last year. This deceleration has been driven by a slowing of mortgage growth, reflecting trends in house prices and output, although other forms of credit have also slowed.


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